CoachCox

Ironman Canada 2015: Results and Analysis

We seem to be stuck in a run of slow Ironman races with Ironman Canada being the latest in that line. Cold and wets conditions on Sunday resulted in a distinctly slower race with times trending a good 20-30 minutes behind previous form. So a tough day of racing for its third year in Whistler.

Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Canada 2015
Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Canada 2013-2014

The big difference in age group median times occurs on the bike, this is where the 2015 results are most consistently slower. While heat tends to impact most strongly on the run, wet or windy conditions have far more influence on bike times. So I’m not too surprised to see swim and run times fall inline with previous years of racing.

Distribution of Finisher Splits at Ironman Canada 2015 Compared With 2013-2014

Viewing the results as distributions confirms how the bike is the critical factor in this year’s times. Swim and run distribute very closely with previous year’s but the bike is much slower with the overall times following in line.

Changes in Male Age Group Finishing Times by Place at Ironman Canada
Changes in Female Age Group Finishing Times by Place at Ironman Canada

Tracking times for different finishing positions over the last few years again shows this years times to be slower than before, but given we’ve only 3 years of data it’s hard to see it as a huge outlier. Slower, but perhaps not that much slower.

Top Twenty Male Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Canada 2015
Top Twenty Female Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Canada 2015

Similarly looking at times for the top twenty in each age group shows that 2015 is slower than average (from a 2 year sample), but not that different from results in 2014. It varies with age group as to which of the two years was the slower. Levels of competition look to have largely remained the same though.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results and splits for Ironman Canada 2015 on my Google Drive.

All Ironman Results and Statistics

A growing collection of results and statistics for the whole Ironman race calendar.

Find out what it takes to place in your age group or to qualify for the Ironman Worlds Championships in Kona.

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