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Ironman Lake Placid 2017: Age Group Results and Kona Qualification

We move to the US for the second Ironman analysis for the weekend – this time Ironman Lake Placid. Another long established and popular race with the regular 40 Kona slots on offer to age group athletes. Results from the 2017 race look to be typical for the course.

A quick note, that the 2014 race is excluded from this analysis due to irregularities with the results set.

Distribution of Finisher Splits at Ironman Lake Placid 2017 Compared with 2007-2016

The split distributions from this year’s race are very similar to those from the previous decade. The bike median comes out slightly slower, although further up in the race there’s little difference in the splits. So, 2017 is very slightly slower at the median, but this seems to reflect slower performances in the mid to back of pack.

DNS and DNF Rates at Ironman Lake Placid
Listed Athletes Swim Finish Swim DNS/DNF Bike Finish Bike DNF Run Finish Run DNF Overall DNS/DNF
2002 2062 1834 11.1% 1773 3.3% 1624 8.4% 20.6%
2003 2066 1829 11.5% 1763 3.6% 1671 5.2% 19%
2004 2277 1939 14.8% 1921 0.9% 1882 2% 17.3%
2006 2446 2141 12.5% 2108 1.5% 2036 3.4% 16.7%
2007 2528 2177 13.9% 2138 1.8% 2051 4.1% 18.9%
2008 2587 2305 10.9% 2259 2% 2193 2.9% 15.2%
2009 2566 2239 12.7% 2159 3.6% 2051 5% 20.1%
2010 3013 2536 15.8% 2551 % 2471 3.1% 18%
2011 2902 2459 15.3% 2430 1.2% 2356 3% 18.8%
2012 2896 2555 11.8% 2435 4.7% 2280 6.4% 21.3%
2013 2536 2477 2.3% 2426 2.1% 2342 3.5% 7.6%
2014 2762 1738 37.1% 2362 % 2293 2.9% 17%
2015 2798 2300 17.8% 2235 2.8% 2093 6.4% 25.2%
2016 3055 2484 18.7% 2387 3.9% 2268 5% 25.8%
2017 2333 2328 0.2% 2269 2.5% 2195 3.3% 5.9%

We’ve got good quality DNS/DNF numbers this year without confusion over who started. The main points to note here are that both bike and run DNF rates are on the lower end for this race. Drop outs were relatively low at this year’s event which suggests conditions were moderate.

Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Lake Placid 2017
Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Lake Placid 2007-2016

Given the similarities between this year and past results there are no major patterns in the age group median data. Splits aren’t too dissimilar to the aggregated historical data and while they vary it’s not universal across divisions.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman Lake Placid
Count Percentage
United States 2263 82.1
Canada 253 9.2
United Kingdom 47 1.7
France 13 0.5
Mexico 12 0.4
China 11 0.4
Japan 9 0.3
Philippines 8 0.3
Venezuela 7 0.3
Ireland 7 0.3
Ironman Lake Placid 2017 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country Percentage of Slots Percentage of Field
United States 60.0 82.1
Canada 22.5 9.2
Czech Republic 5.0 0.1
Dominican Republic 2.5 0.2
Belgium 2.5 0.1
France 2.5 0.5
India 2.5 0.2
Netherlands 2.5 0.1

As with most US races the majority of athletes are North American, not a huge surprise. The US takes most of the slots, but Canada punches above its weight based on entry numbers.

Changes in Male Finishing Times by Position at Ironman Lake Placid
Changes in Female Finishing Times by Position at Ironman Lake Placid

There’s quite a lot of variance in times by age group and position over previous year’s results. Again, no clear pattern across all the age groups. That said, variations are generally quite small and mostly within the bounds of past races This puts this year’s race somewhere in the middle of Lake Placid results.

Ironman Lake Placid 2017 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
  Slots Winner Average Kona Qualifier Final Qualifier
M18-24 1 9:34:41 9:34:41 9:34:41
M25-29 2 9:37:37 9:39:10 9:40:43
M30-34 2 9:01:34 9:11:38 9:21:42
M35-39 3 9:23:21 9:30:47 9:40:18
M40-44 3 9:13:57 9:26:34 9:41:35
M45-49 3 9:51:35 9:56:59 10:03:20
M50-54 3 9:49:47 9:56:19 10:03:11
M55-59 2 10:28:29 10:31:30 10:34:31
M60-64 2 11:12:15 11:13:10 11:14:06
M65-69 1 11:44:53 11:44:53 11:44:53
M70-74 1 12:56:01 12:56:01 12:56:01
M75-79 1 14:06:53 14:06:53 14:06:53
F18-24 1 10:47:42 10:47:42 10:47:42
F25-29 1 10:37:18 10:37:18 10:37:18
F30-34 2 10:02:41 10:21:35 10:40:29
F35-39 2 10:02:50 10:05:50 10:08:51
F40-44 2 9:46:00 10:13:31 10:41:03
F45-49 2 10:44:57 10:45:17 10:45:37
F50-54 2 10:23:39 10:53:38 11:23:37
F55-59 1 11:15:28 11:15:28 11:15:28
F60-64 1 11:50:32 11:50:32 11:50:32
F65-69 1 13:46:17 13:46:17 13:46:17
F70-74 1 16:16:37 16:16:37 16:16:37

Based on the results list I’ve calculated how the slots might have been allocated, actual numbers may have varied slightly. From this I can estimate an automatic qualifying time assuming no roll downs. Again, final qualifying times may vary especially when roll downs take place. You can compare this with other races on my Kona qualification page.

Top Twenty Male Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Lake Placid 2017
Top Twenty Female Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Lake Placid 2017

To round up the analysis, performances among the top twenty of each age group. These largely trend close to previous averages with one or two notable exceptions. The F55-59 age group performed particularly strongly while the M25-29 division trended behind most consistently. Taken as a whole this again points to a typical year of racing for the Lake Placid course.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results from Ironman Lake Placid 2017 on my Google Drive.

All Ironman Results and Statistics

A growing collection of results and statistics for the whole Ironman race calendar.

Find out what it takes to place in your age group or to qualify for the Ironman Worlds Championships in Kona.

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