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Ironman Mallorca 2016: Results and Kona Qualification Analysis

Ironman Mallorca is a relatively new full distance race, completing it’s third year over the weekend. Like many of the European courses it’s fast and very competitive. There are 40 Kona slots on offer, but you need to be quick to grab one – close to 9 hours for men and under 10 for women. This is definitely not the easiest qualifier.

I’ve added a new table to my analysis – a look at what percentage of Kona slots are likely to go to different nationalities. It’s a little more interesting than the 10 most common nationalities at the race.

Distribution of Finisher Splits at Ironman Mallorca 2016 Compared with 2014-2015

This year looks to be slightly faster than the previous two, but it’s really only by a small margin at best. The most notable change comes on the run course, here it appears to trend a few minutes quicker. Overall though, the race was very much on form for Mallorca – a fast Ironman.

DNS and DNF Rates at Ironman Mallorca
Listed Athletes Swim Finish Swim DNS/DNF Bike Finish Bike DNF Run Finish Run DNF Overall DNS/DNF
2014 2554 2144 16.1% 2116 1.3% 1990 6% 22.1%
2015 2323 1973 15.1% 1893 4.1% 1809 4.4% 22.1%
2016 2012 1741 13.5% 1664 4.4% 1602 3.7% 20.4%

A smaller field at this year’s race and with it a slight drop in the DNS/DNF rate. Again, it’s largely inline with the previous years of racing. The drop in DNFs on the run is perhaps most notable. I’d guess that conditions were a little more favourable on Saturday, but not exceptional for Mallorca.

Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Mallorca 2016
Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Mallorca 2014-2015

Comparing the median splits across the age groups the difference between bike and run splits seems a bit more obvious. Here you can see that both bike and run splits are faster for many of the age groups.

Ironman Mallorca 2016 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country Percentage of Slots Percentage of Field
Germany 45.0 12.3
Austria 15.0 2.6
Switzerland 10.0 3.5
Denmark 10.0 2.2
Norway 5.0 1.3
Italy 5.0 5.8
France 5.0 5.2
Czech Republic 5.0 1.2

Based on my estimates of slot allocations and automatic qualifying times, the table above shows how those slots would be distributed over the different nationalities competing. I’m curious to see which races tend to get mostly local fields and which involve more diverse slot winners. It’s a work in progress. Here we see a diverse mix of Europeans taking slots with the strongest showing from the Germans.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman Mallorca
Count Percentage
United Kingdom 473 23.5
Spain 281 14
Germany 247 12.3
Italy 117 5.8
France 104 5.2
Ireland 86 4.3
Switzerland 71 3.5
Sweden 64 3.2
Belgium 62 3.1
Austria 52 2.6

For contrast, here’s how many athletes entered based on nationality. Despite being the largest group, the Brits didn’t fair too well when it came to Kona slots.

Changes in Male Finishing Times by Position at Ironman Mallorca
Changes in Female Finishing Times by Position at Ironman Mallorca

There’s a range of patterns in finishing times over the 3 years. So while many age groups see some improvement at this year’s race, it’s not outside the bounds of previous races for the most part. It’s also not consistent and in some divisions times were slower.

Ironman Mallorca 2016 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
  Slots Winner Average Kona Qualifier Final Qualifier
M18-24 1 8:56:51 8:56:51 8:56:51
M25-29 2 9:08:55 9:09:34 9:10:13
M30-34 4 8:45:07 8:55:25 9:02:47
M35-39 5 8:53:56 9:01:43 9:09:13
M40-44 5 8:55:16 9:08:41 9:20:13
M45-49 4 9:08:53 9:19:00 9:27:17
M50-54 3 9:03:29 9:18:59 9:35:53
M55-59 2 9:49:13 10:00:37 10:12:01
M60-64 1 10:27:37 10:27:37 10:27:37
M65-69 1 11:55:09 11:55:09 11:55:09
M70-74 1 14:05:54 14:05:54 14:05:54
F18-24 1 10:08:58 10:08:58 10:08:58
F25-29 1 10:24:27 10:24:27 10:24:27
F30-34 2 9:55:12 9:59:41 10:04:11
F35-39 1 9:41:35 9:41:35 9:41:35
F40-44 2 9:54:46 9:57:25 10:00:04
F45-49 1 9:56:24 9:56:24 9:56:24
F50-54 1 11:04:49 11:04:49 11:04:49
F55-59 1 12:13:53 12:13:53 12:13:53
F60-64 1 12:34:26 12:34:26 12:34:26

The table above uses my estimated Kona slots (based on registration numbers) and calculates automatic qualifying times. Actually slots and times will vary depending on start numbers and roll down. For more statistics, check out my Kona qualification page.

Top Twenty Male Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Mallorca 2016
Top Twenty Female Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Mallorca 2016

Looking at top twenty age group times, there’s not a clear pattern. Fro quite a few of the main age groups the trend is slightly faster than average, but it’s not universal, M40-44 trended behind the average for example. So, Ironman Mallorca 2016 may have been a bit faster, but it wasn’t by much.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results and splits from Ironman Mallorca 2016 on my Google Drive.

All Ironman Results and Statistics

A growing collection of results and statistics for the whole Ironman race calendar.

Find out what it takes to place in your age group or to qualify for the Ironman Worlds Championships in Kona.

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