Ironman Mont-Tremblant 2016: Results and Kona Qualification Analysis

We now move over to Canada for the third Ironman race of the weekend – Ironman Mont-Tremblant. After two fast and flat European courses we’re shifting to a hillier and subsequently slower race. Mont-Tremblant is now in it’s fifth year, it’s a large race with almost 2,500 competitors racing for 40 Kona slots. As with any large race there’s a broad spread of athletes competing and their results fall inline with other North American events.

Distribution of Finisher Splits at Ironman Mont-Tremblant 2016 Compared with 2012-2015

It was a slower year in Mont-Tremblant. In particular times on the swim and the bike fall behind the aggregated results from previous years. The shift appears to be fairly consistent across the field and is enough to see a roughly 15 minute change in overall times.

DNS and DNF Rates at Ironman Mont-Tremblant
Listed Athletes Swim Finish Swim DNS/DNF Bike Finish Bike DNF Run Finish Run DNF Overall DNS/DNF
2012 2542 2190 13.8% 2145 2.1% 2099 2.1% 17.4%
2013 2306 2255 2.2% 2199 2.5% 2119 3.6% 8.1%
2014 2317 2284 1.4% 2226 2.5% 2142 3.8% 7.4%
2015 2352 2307 1.9% 2240 2.9% 2152 3.9% 8.5%
2016 2480 2439 1.7% 2332 4.4% 2251 3.5% 9.2%

Interestingly, it would appear that since 2013 athlete numbers listed for Mont-Tremblant represent on-site registrations, this means DNS numbers aren’t a major contributor to these percentages. This year’s rate appears to be a bit higher than has been usual (remembering that 2012 numbers contain full DNS numbers pushing up overall figures) and that comes from an increase in DNF on the bike. Combined with the slower bike splits it would appear conditions were tougher on the bike than normal.

Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Mont-Tremblant 2016
Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Mont-Tremblant 2012-2015

Broadly speaking median times in all three disciplines appear to be slower at this year’s race. Although, at the individual age group level the changes aren’t hugely significant. A 15 minute shift in overall times can seem quite large, but for a race in excess of 10 hours the differences required in individual elements are relatively small.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman Mont-Tremblant
Count Percentage
Canada 1213 48.9
United States 1098 44.3
Mexico 40 1.6
France 22 0.9
United Kingdom 11 0.4
Italy 7 0.3
Japan 7 0.3
Germany 7 0.3
Puerto Rico 6 0.2
Australia 6 0.2

As we would expect there were mostly Canadians and Americans racing in Mont-Tremblant with a small spread of other nationalities also in the mix.

Changes in Male Finishing Times by Position at Ironman Mont-Tremblant
Changes in Female Finishing Times by Position at Ironman Mont-Tremblant

Scanning across the changes in finishing times for different age groups and finishing positions I can’t pick out any clear pattern for this year’s race. It’s a little slower, but not consistently and not by any great degree.

Ironman Mont-Tremblant 2016 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
  Slots Winner Average Kona Qualifier Final Qualifier
M18-24 1 9:44:44 9:44:44 9:44:44
M25-29 2 9:01:13 9:15:21 9:29:30
M30-34 3 9:11:11 9:20:36 9:30:40
M35-39 3 9:37:00 9:39:24 9:41:32
M40-44 3 9:28:34 9:32:42 9:38:38
M45-49 3 9:13:42 9:27:56 9:47:30
M50-54 3 9:34:59 9:49:51 10:10:02
M55-59 2 9:56:54 10:05:13 10:13:33
M60-64 1 10:42:23 10:42:23 10:42:23
M65-69 1 11:48:40 11:48:40 11:48:40
M70-74 1 13:39:55 13:39:55 13:39:55
M75-79 1 16:43:27 16:43:27 16:43:27
F18-24 1 11:35:17 11:35:17 11:35:17
F25-29 1 10:11:24 10:11:24 10:11:24
F30-34 2 10:25:41 10:26:52 10:28:04
F35-39 2 9:51:19 10:01:08 10:10:58
F40-44 2 10:27:35 10:37:49 10:48:04
F45-49 2 10:25:10 10:41:07 10:57:04
F50-54 2 11:18:28 11:22:25 11:26:23
F55-59 1 11:37:34 11:37:34 11:37:34
F60-64 1 14:30:44 14:30:44 14:30:44
F65-69 1 16:16:44 16:16:44 16:16:44
F70-74 1 14:52:13 14:52:13 14:52:13

Based on the athlete list I’ve calculated the kona slot allocation and automatic qualifying times for each age group (final numbers may vary). On a course like Mont-Tremblant we won’t see the sub-9 qualifying requirements of Sweden or Copenhagen, but for a hilly course there are some fast performances at the front. You can compare Ironman Mont-Tremblants qualifying times with other races on my Kona qualification page.

Top Twenty Male Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Mont-Tremblant 2016
Top Twenty Female Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Mont-Tremblant 2016

Finally, looking at finishing times for the top twenty in each age group, this year’s results are generally average to below average. There are quite a few instances where Kona qualifiers outpace the average and set some very fast times for the course, but for the most part the front of pack follows the trend of a slightly slower race in 2016.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results and splits from Ironman Mont-Tremblant 2016 on my Google Drive.

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  • Brian

    Yes, this year the weather was stormy with over an inch of rain, which forced most people to slow down on their hill descents. One bad bike accident occurred on a steeper hill on the first loop. On the second loop, the race director stood where the accident occurred, telling people to slow down on the descent. The majority of the bad weather occurred from around 11am – 5pm, when most people were on the bike leg. There were also very strong sustained and gusty winds during the bike.

  • Thanks for the info. Always appreciate some on-the-course feedback to help explain the results.

  • Brian

    Thanks for all of your info. It is really interesting stuff.

  • Caroline

    For the swim, wetsuit was not allowed for the pros for the first time in 5 years. It explains the slower times. Waves were also way bigger than in the past years.