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Ironman Cairns 2019: Age Group Results and Kona Qualification

The first of two racist analyse from the last weekend is the Asia Pacific Championship, Ironman Cairns. Cairns is a mid-sized race which, as a championship event, puts 80 age group Kona slots on offer. This year’s race fell inline with the previous few years and results trend closely to the course averages.

Distribution of Finisher Splits at Ironman Cairns 2019 Compared with 2012-2018

Comparing this year’s distributions with the amalgamated data from the previous 8 years shows minimal differences. The bike looks to be very slightly slower and the swim a little more focussed. Otherwise the broad picture from this race is one of conformity with previous results.

DNS and DNF Rates at Ironman Cairns
Year
Listed Athletes
Swim Finish
Swim DNS/DNF
Bike Finish
Bike DNF
Run Finish
Run DNF
Overall DNS/DNF
2012
805
793
1.5%
781
1.5%
752
3.7%
6.5%
2013
1226
1201
2%
1177
2%
1138
3.3%
6.9%
2014
1275
1259
1.3%
1219
3.2%
1194
2.1%
6.3%
2015
880
768
12.7%
741
3.5%
705
4.9%
19.9%
2016
1434
1410
1.7%
1356
3.8%
1307
3.6%
8.9%
2017
1112
1110
0.2%
1080
2.7%
1032
4.4%
7.2%
2018
1056
1040
1.5%
1005
3.4%
953
5.2%
9.8%
2019
1158
1154
0.3%
1113
3.6%
1062
4.6%
8.2%

DNF numbers sit in the mid to high range for the course, but are certainly not exceptional by Ironman standards.

Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Cairns 2019
Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Cairns 2012-2018

Age group medians also trend similarly to past results as we’d expect given the minimal variations in distributions.

Top 10 Nationalities at Ironman Cairns
Country
Count
Percentage
Australia
770
59.7
Japan
207
16.1
New Zealand
67
5.2
United Kingdom
49
3.8
China
40
3.1
United States
27
2.1
Singapore
15
1.2
France
10
0.8
Chile
8
0.6
Argentinia
7
0.5
Ironman Cairns 2019 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country
Percentage of Slots
Percentage of Field
Australia
55.0
59.7
New Zealand
15.0
5.2
Japan
13.8
16.1
United Kingdom
2.5
3.8
Hong Kong
2.5
0.5
United States
2.5
2.1
Brazil
1.3
0.4
Austria
1.3
0.3
France
1.3
0.8
Italy
1.3
0.2
South Africa
1.3
0.5
Portugal
1.3
0.2
Poland
1.3
0.2

Three quarters of the athletes come from Australia, New Zealand or Japan to race in Cairns and these three nationalities also take most of the slots. The remaining quarter of athletes comes from a wide range of countries.

Changes in Male Finishing Times by Position at Ironman Cairns
Changes in Female Finishing Times by Position at Ironman Cairns

Tracking the times for specific age group positions over the last few years shows that this years race is quite consistent with the last three years of racing. 2014 and 2015 showed the most deviation in results, but Cairns has mostly been a consistent course in the results it produces.

Ironman Cairns 2019 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
Age Group
Slots
Winner
Average Kona Qualifier
Final Qualifier
M18-24
1
09:47:24
09:47:24
09:47:24
M25-29
3
09:21:10
09:31:13
09:38:53
M30-34
6
09:11:51
09:26:14
09:39:53
M35-39
9
09:21:04
09:33:43
09:46:16
M40-44
10
08:53:00
09:35:28
10:03:40
M45-49
12
09:15:41
09:38:46
09:57:25
M50-54
8
09:31:40
09:58:59
10:18:37
M55-59
6
09:52:31
10:18:19
10:42:16
M60-64
3
09:43:53
10:39:14
11:14:54
M65-69
1
11:55:18
11:55:18
11:55:18
M70-74
1
14:49:03
14:49:03
14:49:03
F18-24
1
11:08:03
11:08:03
11:08:03
F25-29
2
10:23:20
10:39:54
10:56:29
F30-34
2
10:01:31
10:07:48
10:14:06
F35-39
3
10:08:22
10:24:48
10:35:48
F40-44
3
10:31:19
10:32:49
10:35:10
F45-49
3
10:55:56
11:01:36
11:05:39
F50-54
2
11:12:41
11:17:13
11:21:46
F55-59
1
12:37:13
12:37:13
12:37:13
F60-64
1
13:28:03
13:28:03
13:28:03
F65-69
1
15:47:09
15:47:09
15:47:09
F70-74
1
15:45:36
15:45:36
15:45:36

Based on the athlete list I’ve calculated the likely slot allocation and from that the automatic qualifying times in each age group. Finally numbers may have varied and roll downs may influence final qualifying times. You can compare these statistics with other races on my Kona qualification page.

Top Twenty Male Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Cairns 2019
Top Twenty Female Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Cairns 2019

As with other charts the top twenty within each age group trend close to the course averages. This is not universal, some older, male age groups push ahead of the average towards faster times. For the most part though front of pack performances were similar to previous years.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results from Ironman Cairns 2019 on my Google Drive.

All Ironman Results and Statistics

A growing collection of results and statistics for the whole Ironman race calendar.

Find out what it takes to place in your age group or to qualify for the Ironman Worlds Championships in Kona.

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