Ironman Canada 2019: Age Group Results and Kona Qualification

Age group results analysis and Kona qualification review for Ironman Canada 2019
Latest statistics for Ironman Canada

The third and final Ironman of the weekend was Ironman Canada. This is a midsize race that comes with the standard 40 Kona slots for the fastest age groupers. Having moved from Penticton to Whistler in 2013, Ironman Canada is now scheduled to move back in 2020. Which means, while this analysis will allow us to compare this year’s race with others in Whistler, it won’t tell us much about next year’s qualification in Penticton. To complicate comparisons further, the bike course saw changes both this year and the last.

Distribution of Finisher Splits at Ironman Canada 2019 Compared with 2013-2018

The split distributions from this years race line up quite well with the amalgamated data from the previous 6 years. After a slower 2018 (which is part of the amalgamated results) this year’s race looks to be closer to form for Whistler.

DNF Rates at Ironman Canada
Year
Starters
Finishers
Swim DNF
Bike DNF
Run DNF
Overall DNF
DQs
2013
2128
1985
0.4%
2.9%
3.5%
6.7%
2014
1855
1675
0.3%
5.7%
3.8%
9.7%
3
2015
1722
1502
1.2%
10.2%
1.7%
12.8%
2
2016
1260
1129
0.8%
4.5%
7%
10.4%
3
2017
1271
1148
0.6%
5.9%
3.5%
9.7%
3
2018
1470
1164
1.4%
9.7%
11.2%
20.8%
9
2019
1243
1140
1.2%
4.2%
3.1%
8.3%
3

2018 really was an exception with its extreme DNF rate over 20%. This year returns us to a relatively low 8.3% for this event. You can compare this with other races and see how DNF rates look across Ironman here.

Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Canada 2019
Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Canada 2013-2018

Age group medians tend to follow the trends set in the distributions. In this cases as the distributions were similar we see some variance across age groups. Some are faster and some slower giving no clear trend.

10 Largest Nationalities at Ironman Canada
Country
Count
Percentage
United States
732
49.2
Canada
510
34.3
United Kingdom
47
3.2
Mexico
31
2.1
Japan
20
1.3
Germany
16
1.1
Philippines
15
1
Australia
10
0.7
France
9
0.6
South Africa
8
0.5
Ironman Canada 2019 Predicted Kona Qualifiers by Country
Country
Percentage of Slots
Percentage of Field
United States
42.5
49.2
Canada
32.5
34.3
Japan
7.5
1.3
Netherlands
2.5
0.3
Czech Republic
2.5
0.3
Germany
2.5
1.1
Mexico
2.5
2.1
Brazil
2.5
0.2
Ireland
2.5
0.5
Costa Rica
2.5
0.1

Ironman Canada is a strongly North American race and keeps most of the Kona slots there too.

Changes in Male Finishing Times by Position at Ironman Canada
Changes in Female Finishing Times by Position at Ironman Canada

Tracking age group times for specific positions over the last few years shows some variance with the 2018 results tending to be the slowest. This years race appears to sit somewhere in the middle of this spread, not the fastest or slowest edition fo the Whistler race.

Ironman Canada 2019 Predicted Kona Qualification Times
Age Group
Slots
Winner
Average Kona Qualifier
Final Qualifier
M18-24
1
09:27:24
09:27:24
09:27:24
M25-29
3
09:39:20
09:46:29
09:51:07
M30-34
3
09:14:02
09:29:27
09:38:20
M35-39
3
09:09:26
09:16:51
09:27:24
M40-44
4
09:25:13
09:48:38
10:12:17
M45-49
4
10:05:28
10:12:07
10:16:33
M50-54
4
09:41:22
09:59:51
10:11:22
M55-59
2
11:04:12
11:08:00
11:11:49
M60-64
1
10:56:14
10:56:14
10:56:14
M65-69
1
12:16:02
12:16:02
12:16:02
M70-74
1
16:07:56
16:07:56
16:07:56
M75-79
1
15:28:10
15:28:10
15:28:10
F18-24
1
11:31:41
11:31:41
11:31:41
F25-29
1
10:57:56
10:57:56
10:57:56
F30-34
1
10:58:27
10:58:27
10:58:27
F35-39
2
10:22:39
10:34:07
10:45:36
F40-44
2
10:52:23
10:54:34
10:56:45
F45-49
1
10:49:00
10:49:00
10:49:00
F50-54
1
11:37:11
11:37:11
11:37:11
F55-59
1
13:01:32
13:01:32
13:01:32
F60-64
1
13:41:21
13:41:21
13:41:21
F65-69
1
12:47:12
12:47:12
12:47:12

Based on the start list I’ve calculated the Kona slot allocation for Ironman Canada and from that the automatic qualification times. Final numbers may vary and I’ve not accounted for any roll down. You can compare these times with other races on my Kona qualification page.

Top Twenty Male Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Canada 2019
Top Twenty Female Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Canada 2019

Finally the top twenty age group times are again on the average. There is some age group variation where we see faster or slower times, but this is about as close to the course averages as we see.

You can access a spreadsheet of the full results from Ironman Cana 2019 on my Google Drive.

Latest statistics for Ironman Canada
Qualification Review
Personalised analytics and guidance for your World Championship qualification journey.
Ironman Coaching
Bespoke triathlon coaching packages and individual training plans.
Training Camps
Triathlon training camps based in Lanzarote.
More Ironman Canada Articles
Top Twenty Male Performances and Kona Qualification by Age Group at Ironman Canada 2018Ironman Canada 2018: Age Group Results and Kona Qualification
Distribution of Finisher Splits at Ironman Canada 2017 Compared with 2013-2016Ironman Canada 2017: Age Group Results and Kona Qualification
Median Splits by Age Group at Ironman Canada 2016Ironman Canada 2016: Results and Kona Qualification Analysis
Distribution of Finisher Splits at Ironman Canada 2015 Compared With 2013-2014Ironman Canada 2015: Results and Analysis

Comments